Virginia
W-L: ( 7- 4) PR = 97.4710Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 208 H Colgate PATRIOT ( 4- 6, 92.6) 19-14 214 A Richmond A10 ( 9- 1, 99.9) 12-18 221 A Stony Brook CAA ( 6- 4, 90.3) 19- 7 228 H Johns Hopkins B10 ( 7- 3, 96.3) 13-14 303 A High Point A10 ( 5- 5, 92.5) 14- 7 307 H Towson CAA ( 7- 3, 95.5) 9-13 314 A Maryland B10 ( 5- 4, 96.7) 12-13 321 H Utah ASUN ( 7- 3, 95.3) 16-11 323 H Dartmouth IVY ( 4- 6, 92.9) 18- 7 328 H Notre Dame ACC ( 7- 1, 99.4) 11- 9 404 A Duke ACC ( 8- 2, 97.4) 14-10 411 A Syracuse ACC ( 9- 3, 98.2) 418 H North Carolina ACC (10- 1, 99.4) 424 H Drexel CAA ( 7- 4, 92.1)
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
208 H Colgate 19-14 5 6 -1.39
214 A Richmond 12-18 -6 -4 - -2.02
221 A Stony Brook 19- 7 12 6 1.36
228 H Johns Hopkins 13-14 -1 3 - -3.76
303 A High Point 14- 7 7 3 + 3.62
307 H Towson 9-13 -4 4 --- -7.52
314 A Maryland 12-13 -1 -1 -0.22
321 H Utah 16-11 5 4 1.28
323 H Dartmouth 18- 7 11 6 0.83
328 H Notre Dame 11- 9 2 0 + 2.37
404 A Duke 14-10 4 -1 ++ 5.46
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 H Towson 9-13 -4 4 --- -7.52 214 A Richmond 12-18 -6 -4 - -2.02 228 H Johns Hopkins 13-14 -1 3 - -3.76 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A Duke 14-10 4 -1 ++ 5.46 303 A High Point 14- 7 7 3 + 3.62 328 H Notre Dame 11- 9 2 0 + 2.37 |
Virginia Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| Albany | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Army | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Bellarmine | Virginia | Virginia 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Binghamton | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| Boston Univ | Virginia | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Virginia | |
| Brown | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Bryant | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Bucknell | Virginia | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Virginia | |
| Canisius | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Cleveland State | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Colgate | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Cornell | Cornell | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cornell | |
| Dartmouth | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Delaware | Virginia | Virginia 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Denver | Virginia | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Virginia | |
| Detroit Mercy | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Drexel | Virginia | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| Duke | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Fairfield | Virginia | Virginia 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Georgetown | Georgetown | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Georgetown | |
| Hampton | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Harvard | Virginia | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Virginia | |
| High Point | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Hobart | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Virginia | |
| Hofstra | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| Holy Cross | Virginia | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Virginia | |
| Iona | Virginia | Virginia 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Jacksonville | Virginia | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Virginia | |
| Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins | ||
| Lafayette | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| Le Moyne | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Lehigh | Virginia | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| LIU | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Loyola | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Virginia | |
| Manhattan | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| Marist | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| Marquette | Virginia | Virginia 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| Massachusetts | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Virginia | |
| UMassLowell | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Mercer | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Virginia | |
| Mercyhurst | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Merrimack | Virginia | Virginia 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Michigan | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Virginia | |
| Monmouth | Virginia | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| Mt St Marys | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Navy | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Virginia | |
| NJIT | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| North Carolina | North Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | North Carolina | |
| Notre Dame | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Ohio State | Virginia | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Virginia | |
| Pennsylvania | Virginia | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Virginia | |
| Penn State | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Penn State | |
| Princeton | Princeton | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Princeton | |
| Providence | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| Queens | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Quinnipiac | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Richmond | Richmond | Richmond | ||
| Robert Morris | Virginia | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Virginia | |
| Rutgers | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Virginia | |
| Sacred Heart | Virginia | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Virginia | |
| Siena | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| St Bonnies | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| St Johns | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| St Josephs | Virginia | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Virginia | |
| Stony Brook | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson | ||
| UMBC | Virginia | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| Utah | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Vermont | Virginia | Virginia 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Villanova | Virginia | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| VMI | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| Wagner | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Yale | Virginia | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Virginia |
PowerWise = 66
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 10.36
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Colgate ( 4- 6, 92.6) 19-14 -7.28 14.02 -1.55 0.94 23.50
0 A Richmond ( 9- 1, 99.9) 12-18 -0.00 21.30 1.55 0.94 -0.73
0 A Stony Brook ( 6- 4, 90.3) 19- 7 -9.62 11.68 1.55 0.94 24.93
0 H Johns Hopkins ( 7- 3, 96.3) 13-14 -3.65 17.65 -1.55 0.94 -2.45
0 A High Point ( 5- 5, 92.5) 14- 7 -7.36 13.94 1.55 0.94 29.18
0 H Towson ( 7- 3, 95.5) 9-13 -4.40 16.90 -1.55 0.94 -2.80
0 A Maryland ( 5- 4, 96.7) 12-13 -3.20 18.10 1.55 0.94 -0.78
0 H Utah ( 7- 3, 95.3) 16-11 -4.60 16.69 -1.55 0.94 28.54
0 H Dartmouth ( 4- 6, 92.9) 18- 7 -7.05 14.25 -1.55 0.94 23.93
0 H Notre Dame ( 7- 1, 99.4) 11- 9 -0.51 20.79 -1.55 0.94 36.25
0 A Duke ( 8- 2, 97.4) 14-10 -2.52 18.78 1.55 0.94 38.30
------
197.88
|
winning pts = 204.6300 losing points = -6.7521
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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